Will Romney win the popular vote but lose the electoral college?

http://twitter.com/#!/ChrisLl86331125/status/259296926405636096

That unlikely prospect is on the minds of some pundits and Twitter users today:

David Jackson, writing in USA Today:

Expect to hear more and more talk that one of the presidential candidates could win more votes — but lose the White House because the opponent wins the Electoral College.

As it stands now, Mitt Romney leads President Obama in the popular vote — 47.7% vs. 46.7% — according to the average of polls complied by the RealClearPolitics website.

But, according to averages of polls in individual states, Obama right now leads in those states with a total of 294 electoral votes, compared with 244 for Romney, according to RealClearPolitics.

An electoral college/popular vote split is “certainly what it looks like.” Oh good, that’ll be fun. wapo.st/Ww2kyH

— Jeff Spross (@jeffspross) October 19, 2012

If the presidential election were held today, #Romney would win the popular vote, #Obama would win the electoral college.

— Dave Phillips (@Radiocop) October 19, 2012

Gallup’s Newport: numbers suggest electoral college/popular vote split w Obama win. Not yet showing 2nd debate impact. m.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-kle…

— Bob Reynolds (@sbreynolds314) October 19, 2012

Imagine if Obama wins the electoral college but Romney wins the popular vote? Can you imagine the punditry shitstorm? #Election

— Zachary Brenner (@ZacharyBrenner) October 19, 2012

if Obama wins the electoral college and Romney wins the popular vote, I guarantee you we’ll have a change in the way presidents are elected.

— Ed Bremson (@EdBremson) October 19, 2012

If the presidential election were held today, #Romney would win the popular vote, #Obama would win the electoral college.

— Dave Phillips (@Radiocop) October 19, 2012

Well, anything is possible, of course, but this outcome doesn’t seem likely. If Romney does well enough nationally to win the popular vote, he’ll probably win enough toss-up states (e.g., Florida, Virginia, Nevada, Wisconsin, Iowa, Colorado, New Hampshire) to carry the electoral college, too.

Anyway, the rules are clear: Whoever wins the electoral college wins the election.

(It would be much more interesting if there is a tie in the electoral college. Very unlikely, of course, but theoretically possible.)

Read more: http://twitchy.com/2012/10/19/will-romney-win-the-popular-vote-but-lose-the-electoral-college/